The Ontario Home Builders’ Association held its annual Economic Forum in Toronto last week where a panel of economists and experts outlined their predictions for the housing and real estate industry in 2011.
The important message was that these economists held cautious optimism for the coming year and felt that interest rates will remain stable, which bodes well for anyone planning to buy their first home or perhaps moving up into something larger and having to carry a mortgage.
According to Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist for BMO Capital Markets, consumer confidence is good; that while household debt is still on the high side, net worth is still in a favourable position. While the manufacturing job market has weakened in Ontario, employment across Canada has improved. Consumer confidence and a good national employment picture mean interest rates should remain stable for the next 18 months, he predicts. We’ve seen a few Bank of Canada rate increases over the summer, but as long as the U.S. Federal Reserve holds steady, there will be no reason to increase rates here, he maintains.
Pascal Gauthier, senior economist with TD Bank Financial Group, has similar opinions explaining that the economic recovery has entered a second phase with much more subdued but more sustainable economic growth. The result is low inflation and low interest rates.
“We think the Canadian dollar can hold and even rise above parity against the US dollar over the next 12 to 24 months … We forecast the Bank of Canada’s will resume raising its overnight rate (currently at one percent) by mid-2011, to reach two percent by year-end 2011, which is still low (zero in real, inflation-adjusted, terms) and stimulative for the economy,” Gauthier says.
He goes on to explain that longer term Government of Canada bond yields (e.g. five-year) will also rise modestly, which bodes well for typical mortgage borrowing rates (e.g. posted fixed five-year) which are anchored to these rates. This will mean that affordability should remain good on a financing basis.
As we move into the holiday shopping period, CIBC World Markets has an interesting take on the consumer situation. In one of its latest reports, the bank states that in the latest quarter shoppers hit the stores, as reflected in a 3.5 percent uptick in consumption activity. The drop in the savings rate to 3.3 percent is still lower than what we are seeing in the U.S., which indicates that Canadians are feeling less guarded about the economic picture. Domestic consumption has been supported in recent months by rising wages and ongoing hiring.
So whether you are shopping for gifts or thinking of making that larger investment in the near future – buying a home – there appears to be borrowing stability in the near future. When it comes to making that major investment – real estate – the key to selling your home quickly and for top dollar is to deal with a broker who has a proven track record and is a consistent top performer.
Innovative marketing initiatives and investment, knowledge about the marketplace, commitment and exemplary service differentiate the Dan Cooper Team. The result is that we are achieving accomplishments that illustrate the Dan Cooper difference. We are the Number 1 team in Canada for Royal LePage, which is a testament to our ability to sell homes fast in the Oakville and Burlington areas. In fact, we have been the Number 1 team for seven of the past 10 years. This is an accomplishment that does not happen by accident, but rather by design. Our dedication and commitment to selling your home, along with superior marketing strategies, have time and time again helped our clients sell their homes quickly and for top dollar.
Dan Cooper is an award winning Broker with Royal LePage Real Estate Services Ltd., Brokerage – the Number 1 Royal LePage Team for Canada in 2009. He can be reached at 905.338.3737, direct line at 905.849.3303 or through his innovative and interactive website at DanCooper.com. Be sure to catch the Dan Cooper Real Estate Series on DailyWebTV.com. For his free booklet How To Sell Your House For Top Dollar – Fast! or his Guide to Oakville Real Estate, please call the Dan Cooper Team.







